Yes, Sue, I read this too.
There are some points to consider, says he with failed pretensions to be a political commentator.
Often the endorsement of a PM for a Minister when the going gets rough can be a kiss of death. Although the PM has said that Ministers can openly campaign to leave Europe, my feeling is that should we vote to stay in convincingly, there will be a cabinet reshuffle and the Outers will slink back to the backbenches. IDS qualifies as an Outer and an unpopular Minister on the decline. Furthermore, the crown prince Osborne will have a strong hand in shaping a new cabinet, devoid of deadwood.
Before then Ministers may have to face tough questioning by the Health Select committee. Sarah Wollaston, Tory chair of the committee, appeared on World at One and spoke against the proposals. That is a formidable stumbling block.
Should the changes get through the House of Commons, seemingly unlikely with a slim majority of 12, they will be roasted in the House of Lords. I know there is a convention that bills with budgetary financial implications normally get through eventually, this may be an exception. I feel that Cameron and Osborne do not want to test such waters, despite veiled threats to fill the Lords with new Tory peers.
With the richest 10% benefiting at the expense of the sick and disabled, this is territory that even the most ardent Tory apparatchik does not wish to enter. There will be exceptions such as my MP. My postcode is IP19 so if you, or one of your researchers, are reading this you know who you are. You also voted to cut the ESA and therefore already beyond the pale.
I am going to stick my neck out and suggest that Osborne, effectively our next unelected PM, will scrap the proposals for now. Should he win the 2020 election, with an increased majority, it will rear its head once more. George is young and can play the waiting game.